When will America next host an Olympic Summer Games?

I have been interested in the reaction of the US news media to the awarding of the 2016 Summer Olympic Games to Rio. More accurately I have found the reaction to Chicago's defeat fascinating.

In much of the coverage there has been a sense that the US has suffered some cruel injustice. Each time the USOC bid for the games, they should surely be awarded them, seemed to go the tone of much of the reporting.

Despite the USA putting up one of their most likely winning cities as candidate this time, the IOC judged that somewhere else should have their turn. As the USA has hosted 4 of the 18 Summer and Winter Olympic Games in my lifetime, this can only be fair from the perspective of the rest of the World.

So I thought it would be both helpful and fun to provide my American chums with some kind of guideline; some kind of ready reckoner, so they can more accurately judge whether the World is being fair or unfair to them when it comes to the awarding of the right to host a Summer Olympic Games. Each methodology is briefly explained and then the year that the USA can next reasonably expect to host the Summer Olympics is extrapolated.

Continental rotation #1: 5 continents
This sees the Summer Olympics awarded to each continent every 20 years. In the Americas, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Argentina, Cuba, Chile and Peru have hosted, have bid for or are considering future bids to host a Summer Games and could be seen as viable candidates. If they all take their turn...
Next USA Summer Games: 2136

Continental rotation#2: 4 continents
For the sake of fairness we remove Oceania from the continental stakes as this essentially means Australia would get an Olympics every 20 years. Each continent gets it's shot every 16 years then...
Next USA Summer Games: 2116

Continental rotation#3: 5 continents = 1 Summer Games every 20 years.
This time assume that North America counts as a continent of 3 countries (an idea rejected by FiFA when allocating World Cups, but we're testing every hypothesis here)
Canada and Mexico are considering future bids.
Next USA Summer Games (assuming the next North American games is in 2024): 2064

Population / Viewing figures
Host the Games where the people are at. Host them where you find the greatest potantial audience. China gets to host 1 in every 6 games, as does India, as does Africa, with Europe taking 1 in 12. To work out the allocation of the USA simply divide the Global population of 6.5 billion people by the US's population of 300 million people. The USA would get to host 1 in every 21.6 games.
Next USA Summer Games: 2080

Everyone take their turn
The UN has 192 member states, but the IOC has 205 National Olympic Committees. If each one gets to take their turn...
Next USA Summer Games: 2764

So realistically, based on a fair allocation of the event, the USA cannot expect to host another Summer Olympics until 2064 at the earliest... I would be 90. Of course, even awarding the USA it's 5th ever Summer Olympics in 2064 would still be unfair for some... Why? Read on...

The "queue-jumper clause".
The USA has already hosted 4 Summer Olympic Games. One more, evern than London! To ensure fairness, it could be proposed that the US sits out the next 4 of it's future 'turns' in any given system so that everyone else in the World can catch up with them. In which case:
Continental Rotation #1: Next USA Summer Games: 2496
Continental Rotation 2: Next USA Summer Games: 2416
Continental Rotation 3: Next USA Summer Games: 2208
Population / Viewing Figures: Next USA Summer Games: 2332
Everyone Take Their Turn: Next USA Summer Games: 5068

So basically, if the USA is ever awarded another Summer Games in the lifetime of most people reading this blog, they will be doing better than they should be! I actually have a sneaking suspicion that a proposed joint bid for uber-hip trend centres Seattle-Vancouver 2028 may go down very well, following games in Cape Town 2020 and Delhi 2024. Watch this space.

Of course the great irony in me going into all this time and doing all these sums is that I live in London, the city which has been awarded the games more than any other! Bring on 2012 :)

Why do American do that... Pick the wrong city for their Olympic Bids

So I was wondering to myself, what makes a good Olympic Bid City?

2016: Rio. Fun, Carnival, Glamour, and possibly the most beautiful setting of any city.
2012: London. Swinging, Fashion, Fun, History
2008: Beijing. Fascinating showcase to the World of the 21st Century's dominant power.
2004: Athens. Drama, Aesthetes and Athletes... Greece invented it all and the Olympics came home.
2000: Sydney. Fun. Just lots and lots of fun!
1992: Barcelona. The launch of an international must-visit uber-hip destination.

Potential bid cities for 2020:
Cape Town: Africa's hippest city bids for the continent's first games (already who can beat them?!)
St Petersburg: Peter The Great's beautiful 'Window on the West'
Istanbul: East meets West in a hip 'n' trendy happening melting pot

You start to get a sense that trendy, cool, urban hotspots do well, with a stunning natural backdrop certainly not being a downside. Realistically, the USA has perhaps 4 cities with the appeal that could give them a chance of winning... New York, Chicago, San Francisco and Seattle. As another note, many host cities win at the second or third time of running a bid.

Which city is apparently the USOC most likely to let run for the 2020 games?

Detroit.

Seriously.

I almost feel no more needs to be said except it already holds the record as the city in the World that has bid the most often and never been awarded the games.

Why do Americans do that... Overreact to not being awarded the 2016 Olympics

The American reaction to the 2016 Olympic decision has been fascinating.

Readers will know the Olympic Bidding process is one of those things I find interesting. I was hoping Rio would win the 2016 decision and they did.

Reaction in the US has been extreme.

On the one hand, right wingers have been gleeful that Chicago has lost as it apparently involves an international repudiation of Obama and represents his first major defeat.

On the other, the left has been sad for the city of Chicago and the loss of potential jobs and investment. However their disappointment is still tinged with a kind of disbelief that the US could have been passed over at all. Almost as if the US has a god given right to host the Olympics every time they click their fingers and demand it.

I heard one interviewer in the crowd in Chicago asking "They rejected New York and now Chicago. Does our rejection mean that the World hates America?"

Not at all... The day before the 2012 vote that awarded the games to swinging London, the NYC powers that be TURNED DOWN planning permission for the proposed New York 2012 Olympic Stadium in Madison Square Gardens... That's right. New York went into the bid vote without a stadium in it's bid. Rejecting that bid wasn't an act of hatred, it was common sense!

I have not heard a single US person question whether perhaps Rio, Madrid or Tokyo simply had better bids.